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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Assoumou-Ella Giscard (LEAD Université de Toulon Toulon FranceCIREGED Université Omar Bongo Libreville Gabon) Bastidon Cécile (LEAD Université de Toulon Toulon FranceCAC-IXXI ENS Lyon Lyon France) Bonijoly Bastien (LEAD Université de Toulon Toulon France)
저널정보
한국국제경제학회 International Economic Journal International Economic Journal Vol.36 No.2
발행연도
2022.6
수록면
206 - 228 (23page)
DOI
10.1080/10168737.2022.2052741

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We propose one of the first empirical evaluations of the transmission of the 2013?2015 Federal reserve Tapering announcements of assets purchases, to the stock markets of the three north African countries with the most advanced financial development: Egypt, Morocco, and Tunisia. We use two alternative announcement effects dummy variables: one constructed from econometric tests of individual announcements, the other constructed from the media coverage. In spite of a relatively low level of financial integration, the results of panel data tests show a significant negative impact of announcements, generally associated with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings rather than minutes. This result is in line with the literature on the domestic and international announcement effects of the information released by the FOMC, in the absence of discordance of tone between the meeting statement and the minutes. From the perspective of policy recommendations, the study of the interaction of Tapering announcements with domestic fundamentals shows interesting results. Fundamentals with favorable direct effects on equity markets dynamics could indirectly increase their vulnerability to announcement effects. Inflation, domestic investment and commercial openness show significant interaction effects in the opposite sense of their direct effects, some of which are superior to the direct effects.

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