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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
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한국슬라브유라시아학회 슬라브학보 슬라브학보 제17권 1호
발행연도
2002.6
수록면
207 - 234 (28page)

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The United States declared its intention to pull out from ABM treaty which was concluded in 1972 with the Soviet Union to clear out the obstacle for building missile defense system. While Russian President Putin criticized the U.S. movement as a mistake, he excluded as an option any movement which could derail nuclear arms control. Russian experts agree with their president that the U. S. missile defense system would not become a major threat in near future. However, they notice the symbolic meaning of the U.S. move as a withdrawal from old game rule which have given Russia an equal partnership with the United States in term of nuclear armaments. The ABM treaty has been providing strategic stability based on nuclear parity between the United States and Russia.
The situation of Russian nuclear forces would become worsened because they are deprived the priority consideration in allocation of budget for weapon procurement which was given for years. Some experts assert that in 5 years, Russian nuclear warhead might be reduced less than 1500, and that these forces are also highly vulnerable to U.S. first strike. It means that U.S. may have blackout potential with superior nuclear forces and with missile defense.
The problem is that Russian situation of nuclear forces deteriorate rapidly when the United States tries to construct missile defense system which will be further expanded. The Russian reaction in this situation of disruption of nuclear strategic stability seems to rebuild and strengthen the Space Forces. Especially, the United States much depends on space for military as well as its economy and even every day life. Space can be an Achilles muscles for the United states. The Russian Space Forces may be considered an asymmetrical strategic countermeasure to the U.S. construction of missile defense.

목차

1. 서론: 미국의 ABM 조약 탈퇴 선언 배경
2. 미국의 ABM조약 탈퇴선언에 대한 러시아의 인식
3. 러-미 전략적 안정성
4. 비대칭적 대응으로서의 우주군
5. 맺는말
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