지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 저널정보
- 한국기상학회 Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences Vol.44 No.3
- 발행연도
- 2008.8
- 수록면
- 259 - 267 (9page)
이용수
이 논문의 연구 히스토리 (2)
- 이 논문의 후속연구가 궁금하신가요?
- 연관 학술논문 또는 학술발표를 통해 보다 발전된 연구결과를 확인하실 수 있습니다.
- 이 논문의 연구 히스토리 확인하기
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Given a large number of dynamical model predictions, this study endeavors to improve seasonal climate prediction through optimizing multi-model ensemble (MME) method. We have developed a new MME method and evaluated it using 15 dynamical models’ retrospective forecasts for the period 1981-2001 in comparison with other MME methods. The strengths of the new method lie in a statistical error correction procedure for predictions of individual model and a discreet selection procedure of reliable predictors among all possible candidates. The conspicuous improvement of the new method is achieved against other MME methods over the regions in which the average of individual models’ skill is very poor, such as land area and extratropical oceans. It is demonstrated that the selection procedure for the reliable predictors allows the present method to get more effective as the number of model predictions being used increases.
목차
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Data and methodology
3. Results
4. Summary and Discussion
Acknowledgements
REFERENCE
참고문헌 (18)
참고문헌 신청
1. [단행본] - Anderson, D. L. / 2003 / Comparison of theECMWF seasonal forecast system 1 and 2, including therelative performance for the 1997/8 El Nino / ECMWFTechnical Memorandum : 93 ~
2. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Chakraborty, A. / 2006 / Improvedseasonal climate forecasts of the South Asian summermonsoon using a suite of 13 coupled ocean-atmospheremodels / Mon. Wea. Rev 134 : 1697 ~ 1721
3. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Cocke, S. / 2000 / Seasonal predictionsusing a coupled ocean atmospheric regional spectralmodel / Mon. Wea. Rev 128 : 689 ~ 708
4. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Feddersen, H. / 1999 / Reduction of model systematic error by statistical correctionfor dynamical seasonal prediction / J. Climate 12 : 1974 ~ 1989
5. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Fu, X. / 2004 / The boreal-summer intraseasonaloscillations simulated in a hybrid coupled atmosphere-ocean model / Mon. Wea. Rev 132 : 2628 ~ 2649
2. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Chakraborty, A. / 2006 / Improvedseasonal climate forecasts of the South Asian summermonsoon using a suite of 13 coupled ocean-atmospheremodels / Mon. Wea. Rev 134 : 1697 ~ 1721
3. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Cocke, S. / 2000 / Seasonal predictionsusing a coupled ocean atmospheric regional spectralmodel / Mon. Wea. Rev 128 : 689 ~ 708
4. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Feddersen, H. / 1999 / Reduction of model systematic error by statistical correctionfor dynamical seasonal prediction / J. Climate 12 : 1974 ~ 1989
5. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Fu, X. / 2004 / The boreal-summer intraseasonaloscillations simulated in a hybrid coupled atmosphere-ocean model / Mon. Wea. Rev 132 : 2628 ~ 2649
함께 읽어보면 좋을 논문
논문 유사도에 따라 DBpia 가 추천하는 논문입니다. 함께 보면 좋을 연관 논문을 확인해보세요!
-
Toward enhancement of prediction skills of MME seasonal prediction : A climate filter concept
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2010 .10
-
Evaluation of seasonal prediction skill for the grand APCC-ENSEMBLES MME combination by a climate filter method
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2014 .04
-
Recent Challenges in APCC Multi-Model Ensemble Seasonal Prediction: Hindcast Period Issue
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2020 .10
-
CMIP5 MME와 Best 모델의 비교를 통해 살펴본 미래전망 : II. 동아시아 단 · 장기 미래기후전망에 대한 열역학적 및 역학적 분석
대기
2015 .06
-
The analysis of superiority of multi-model ensemble seasonal prediction
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2005 .04
-
아ㆍ태지역 기후네트워크 (APCN) 다중모델 앙상블 계절 예보의 검증
Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
2005 .12
-
Looking inside S2S predictions: Inter-model comparison and multi-model ensemble performance
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2018 .10
-
On the Improvement of Seasonal Predictability from Multi Model Ensembles
Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
2007 .08
-
Assessment of APCC Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction in Seasonal Climate Forecasting : Retrospective and Real-Time Forecasts
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2014 .10
-
ESTIMATION OF BEST ENSEMBLE SIZE FOR SEASONAL PREDICTION WITH THE USE OF HIGH RESOLUTION GLOBAL MODEL
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2011 .10
-
Improvement of multi-model ensemble seasonal prediction skills over East Asian summer monsoon region using a climate filter concept
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2013 .04
-
Statistical Downscaling Methods based on APCC Multi-model Ensemble for Seasonal Prediction over South Korea
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2014 .05
-
단시간 다중모델 앙상블 바람 예측
대기
2007 .12
-
Ensemble Model Output Statistics를 이용한 평창지역 다중 모델 앙상블 결합 및 보정
대기
2018 .09
-
Global SST Prediction with a Dynamical-Statistical Prediction System
대기
2003 .04
-
동적오차보정기법을 적용한 단시간 앙상블 기온예측
Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
2005 .02
-
A study on development of a temperature prediction system for the boreal winter based on a dynamical-statistical model chain
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2020 .10
-
A Global SST Prediction System with a Multi-Model Ensemble
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2005 .04
-
Comparison between Probabilistic Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction Methods based on Different PDFs
한국기상학회 학술대회 논문집
2007 .04
이 논문의 저자 정보
이 논문과 함께 이용한 논문
3D 바이오프린팅 사례로 본 다학제간 융복합 연구에 대한 소고
박주안
,
정성준
,
마은정
한국과학예술융합학회
2017
.09
Sharpness-aware Evaluation Methodology for Haze-removal Processing in Automotive Systems
Seokha Hwang
,
Youngjoo Lee
IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing & Computing
2016
.12
잉크젯 기반 바이오 프린팅
김영권
,
윤세정
,
박주안
외 1명
고분자 과학과 기술
2015
.10
프로세스 마이닝을 이용한 PDM/PLM 시스템 활용 프로세스의 효율성 개선
이상일
,
류광열
,
송민석
한국CDE학회 논문집
2012
.08
최근 본 자료
댓글(0)
0