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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Sattamat Lappharat (Prince of Songkla University) Penkae Rothmanee (Rajanagarindra Hospital) Kasemsak Jandee (School of Public Health Walailak University Tha Sala Nakhon Si Thammarat Thailand) Manaphat Suksai (Prince of Songkla University) Tippawan Liabsuetrakul (Prince of Songkla University)
저널정보
대한산부인과학회 Obstetrics & Gynecology Science Obstetrics & Gynecology Science 제65권 제2호
발행연도
2022.3
수록면
156 - 165 (10page)
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5468/ogs.21250

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ObjectiveTo develop a predictive model using the risk factors of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and construct a predictivenomogram for GDM risk in women during early pregnancy. MethodsA prospective study was conducted in two tertiary hospitals among pregnant women with gestational age ≤14 weeks. Early GDM was diagnosed if an abnormal 100 g oral glucose tolerance test was detected using the Carpenter andCoustan criteria after an abnormal 50 g glucose challenge test. The factors included in the model were ACOG riskfactors; maternal age; family history of hypertensive disorder in pregnancy; family history of dyslipidemia; gravida;parity; histories of preterm birth, early fetal death, abortion, stillbirth, and low birth weight; and glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c) levels. The predictive models for early GDM were analyzed using multiple logistic regression analyses. Thenomograms were constructed, and their discrimination ability and predictive accuracy were tested. ResultsOf the 553 pregnant women, 54 (9.8%) were diagnosed with early GDM. In the integrated model, there was a historyof GDM (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 5.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82-14.63; P=0.004), HbA1c threshold ≥5.3%(aOR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.44-4.74; P=0.002), and family history of dyslipidemia (aOR, 2.68; 95% CI, 1.37-5.21; P=0.005). The integrated nomogram model showed that a history of GDM had a high impact on the risk of early GDM. Itsdiscrimination and mean absolute error were 0.76 and 0.009, respectively. ConclusionApplication of the predictive model and nomogram will help healthcare providers investigate the probability of earlyGDM, especially in resource-limited countries.

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