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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
이승환 (가톨릭대학교) 김미경 (가톨릭대학교) 유진 (가톨릭대학교) 한경도 (숭실대학교) 이승우 (가톨릭대학교) 유상윤 (가톨릭대학교) 김헌성 (가톨릭대학교) 조재형 (가톨릭대학교) 윤건호 (가톨릭대학교)
저널정보
대한내분비학회 Endocrinology and Metabolism Endocrinology and Metabolism Vol.38 No.1
발행연도
2023.2
수록면
129 - 138 (10page)
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3803/EnM.2022.1609

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Background: The severity of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. We aimed to generate a risk model for predicting insulin-requiring GDM before pregnancy in Korean women. Methods: A total of 417,210 women who received a health examination within 52 weeks before pregnancy and delivered between 2011 and 2015 were recruited from the Korean National Health Insurance database. The risk prediction model was created using asample of 70% of the participants, while the remaining 30% were used for internal validation. Risk scores were assigned based on the hazard ratios for each risk factor in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Six risk variables were selected, and a risk nomogram was created to estimate the risk of insulin-requiring GDM. Results: A total of 2,891 (0.69%) women developed insulin-requiring GDM. Age, body mass index (BMI), current smoking, fasting blood glucose (FBG), total cholesterol, and γ-glutamyl transferase were significant risk factors for insulin-requiring GDM and wereincorporated into the risk model. Among the variables, old age, high BMI, and high FBG level were the main contributors to an increased risk of insulin-requiring GDM. The concordance index of the risk model for predicting insulin-requiring GDM was 0.783(95% confidence interval, 0.766 to 0.799). The validation cohort’s incidence rates for insulin-requiring GDM were consistent with the risk model’s predictions. Conclusion: A novel risk engine was generated to predict insulin-requiring GDM among Korean women. This model may provide helpful information for identifying high-risk women and enhancing prepregnancy care.

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