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The Probability of South Korea's Nuclear Armament
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한국의 핵무장 가능성

논문 기본 정보

Type
Academic journal
Author
Park, Yongsoo (한국해양대학교)
Journal
Asiatic Reaserch Institute, Korea University The Journal of Asiatic Studies Vol.65 No.2(Wn.188) KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2022.6
Pages
101 - 132 (32page)
DOI
10.31930/JAS.2022.06.65.2.101

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The Probability of South Korea's Nuclear Armament
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Is there any probability that South Korea will pursue its own nuclear armament? This article predicts that, if security threats posed by the North Korean nuclear threat and China’s aggressive hegemonic strategy increase, South Korea is very likely to adopt a balancing strategy that maximizes its internal military power and, in this process, pursue its own nuclear armament, if necessary. As the security threats from North Korea/China increase, South Korea will, without exception, think and act strategically. Rather than hedging, the country will adopt an offensive balancing strategy that maximizes its internal military power vis-à-vis North Korea and China, and in this process it is highly likely to pursue its own nuclear armament, if necessary. In the anarchic international system, South Korea, due to the fear arising from not being able to know with certainty the ultimate intentions of North Korea and China, which are heavily armed with nuclear weapons, will ultimately try to achieve a balance of power in the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia by internally maximizing any powerful military power it can acquire, including nuclear weapons, which are weapons of mass destruction (WMD), in order to secure its own survival. This is because only maximizing power is the most certain way to ensure one’s own survival and security in the anarchic international system.
#한국 #북한 #중국 #핵무기 #핵확산 낙관론 #South Korea #North Korea #China #Nuclear Weapons #Proliferation Optimism

Contents

Ⅰ. 이슈, 문제 제기, 연구목적
Ⅱ. 핵무기에 대한 신현실주의/공격적 현실주의 학파의 관점
Ⅲ. 미어샤이머의 공격적 현실주의
Ⅳ . 한국의 안보위협 요인
Ⅴ. 한국의 독자적 핵무장 추진 가능성
Ⅵ. 결론
참고문헌
Abstract

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