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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Shin, Sanggyu (Seoul National University) Lee, Youngsung (Seoul National University) Kim, Kabsung (Yonsei University)
저널정보
대한국토·도시계획학회 국토계획 國土計劃 第56卷 第6號(通卷 第259號)
발행연도
2021.11
수록면
5 - 21 (17page)

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This study examined the manner in which the new consumption trends that are materializing because of the growth of online shopping malls and leisure services have affected the gross floor area of commercial properties so far. Furthermore, a diagnosis was presented on whether the existing design guidelines for commercial land will remain adequate for future purposes. To this end, the impact of new consumption trends on the gross floor area of commercial properties between 2003-2019 was confirmed using the data from the 「Online Shopping Trend Survey」 and 「Service Industry Survey」. After setting scenarios for the omni-channel sales, the sales of the online shopping malls, offline retail shops and leisure service businesses between 2021-2029 were estimated through extrapolation based on the actual sales data between 2003-2019. These estimates aided in predicting whether the existing design guidelines for commercial land will remain adequate in the future. It was found that the growth of online shopping malls and leisure service businesses affected the changes in the gross floor area of retail shops and leisure service businesses between 2003-2019. Further, the existing design guidelines for commercial land were confirmed to remain adequate during the 2020s. However, as the demand for commercial properties decline from the mid-2020s, the design guidelines are expected to be revised in the late 2020s. The authors have concluded that designing commercial land for new towns should be anticipated within the next ten years. Therefore, flexible designs for commercial land and solutions to the problem of vacancies in the existing commercial areas were proposed for the future.

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Abstract
Ⅰ. Introduction
Ⅱ. Literature Review
Ⅲ. Effect of Changes in Consumption Trends on Gross Floor Area of Commercial Properties
Ⅳ. Assessment of Adequacy of Existing Guidelines for Design of Commercial Land
Ⅴ. Conclusion and Implications
References

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