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An Analysis on the Effect of Government's Release on Frozen Pepper Imports
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고추의 정부 비축물량 방출이 냉동고추 수입에 미치는 영향

논문 기본 정보

Type
Academic journal
Author
Journal
경상대학교 농업생명과학연구원(구 경상대학교 시설원예연구소) 농업생명과학연구 농업생명과학연구 제54권 제2호 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2020.1
Pages
101 - 109 (9page)

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An Analysis on the Effect of Government's Release on Frozen Pepper Imports
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The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of the government's release of red pepper stock on the import of frozen peppers. The main results of the vector autoregressive model estimation and Granger causality test are as follows. First, The government's release of red pepper stock did not have a significant effect on the suppression of imports of frozen pepper. If the government released 520 tons to the market, imports of frozen peppers decreased by about 440 tons (88 tons calculated as dried peppers). Second, domestic wholesale prices had a one-way causal relationship that affects only the amount of frozen red pepper imports. According to the impulse response function estimates, if the wholesale price rose by 730 won per 600g, the amount of frozen red pepper imports increased by about 440 tons (88 tons calculated as dried red pepper), but even if the amount of frozen red pepper imports increased by 5,100 tons (1,020 tons calculated as dried red pepper), the wholesale price decreased by only 35 won. Third, government release had a certain impact on stabilizing wholesale prices. If the government's release increased by 520 tons at a certain time, wholesale prices fall by about 220 won. Therefore, it could be desirable to operate the pepper’s Tariff Rate Quotas and government’s stock with a focus on domestic price stabilization rather than focusing on import control of pepper-related items such as frozen pepper.
#Frozen Pepper #Government's Release #Granger Causality #Impulse Response Function #Vector Autoregressive Model

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