Avoidable Burden of Risk Factors for Serious Road Traffic Crashes in Iran: A Modeling Study

Fatemeh Khosravi Shadmani; Kamyar Mansori; Manoochehr Karami; Farid Zayeri; Reza Khosravi Shadman; Shiva Mansouri Hanis; Hamid Soori

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자료유형: 학술저널

저자정보: Fatemeh Khosravi Shadmani Kamyar Mansori Manoochehr Karami Farid Zayeri Reza Khosravi Shadman Shiva Mansouri Hanis Hamid Soori

저널정보: 대한예방의학회 예방의학회지 예방의학회지 제50권 제2호

발행연도: 2017.1

수록면: 83 - 90 (8page)

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Objectives: The aim of this study was to model the avoidable burden of the risk factors of road traffic crashes in Iran and to prioritize interventions to reduce that burden. Methods: The prevalence and the effect size of the risk factors were obtained from data documented by the traffic police of Iran in 2013. The effect size was estimated using an ordinal regression model. The potential impact fraction index was applied to calculate the avoidable burden in order to prioritize interventions. This index was calculated for theoretical, plausible, and feasible minimum risk level scenarios. The joint effects of the risk factors were then estimated for all the scenarios. Results: The highest avoidable burdens in the theoretical, plausible, and feasible minimum risk level scenarios for the non-use of child restraints on urban roads were 52.25, 28.63, and 46.67, respectively. In contrast, the value of this index for speeding was 76.24, 37.00, and 62.23, respectively, for rural roads. Conclusions: On the basis of the different scenarios considered in this research, we suggest focusing on future interventions to decrease the prevalence of speeding, the non-use of child restraints, the use of cell phones while driving, and helmet disuse, and the laws related to these items should be considered seriously.

#Traffic accidents #Risk factors #Prevalence #Human #Iran

참고문헌 (18)

참고문헌 신청

Ayni E / 2013 / Opportunities and threats to mandatory law of child restraint usage in Iran / J Saf Promot Inj Prev 1 (1) : 37 ~ 43

Cummings P / 2006 / Changes in traffic crash mortality rates attributed to use of alcohol, or lack of a seat belt, air bag, motorcycle helmet, or bicycle helmet, United Stat

Eide GE / 2008 / Attributable fractions for partitioning risk and evaluating disease prevention: a practical guide / Clin Respir J 2 (Suppl 1) : 92 ~ 103

Farmer CM / 2010 / Cell phone use while driving and attributable crash risk / Traffic Inj Prev 11 (5) : 466 ~ 470

Hajihosseinlo M / / Effects of cell phone use during the driving and its role in the occurrence of road traffic accidents

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