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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2009.3
- 수록면
- 5 - 42 (38page)
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It cannot be denied that the tendency of left-wing governments to gain political power in Latin America is due to the failure of neoliberal economic policies as well as social structural conditions such as high inequality level and widespread poverty, Despite the fact that this macro level causality is made from voting behaviors of individual citizens at the micro level, there hasn't been enough research on this subject. This study aims to provide a micro foundation for the explanation of the macro phenomenon of left-wing government revival, and thus conducts a comparative analysis of voting actions in 2002 and 2006 Brazilian presidential elections, which led the trend of Latin American left-wing government revival.
Out of a comparative analysis of Brazilian presidential elections, this study came up with the following facts.
First, both 2002 and 2006 presidential elections have shown the existence of class voting phenomenon at a significant level, and the tendency towards class voting was strengthened in 2006 presidential election, which proves the empirical validity of the class voting theory.
Second, it can be said that true class voting took place in 2006 presidential election. In addition to the fact that the class voting tendency grew stronger, there was a bi-polarization between the pro-Lula bloc composed of non-privileged class categories and the anti-Lula bloc composed of privileged class categories, which strengthened the congruence of class location and class position.
Third, in the case of class categories which showed a change in support rate for Lula between year 2002 and 2006, the support rate of non-privileged class categories went up, while the support rate of privileged class categories declined. This can also verify the class nature of Lula government indirectly.
Fourth, bi-polarization between the privileged bloc and the non-privileged bloc regarding Lula government, and the subsequent strengthening of class voting tendency was shown not only among class categories, but also within each class category.
Finally, relatively stronger bi-polarization in 2006 presidential election compared with year 2002 means that ideological bi-polarization developed under the left-wing Lula government, while social and economic bi-polarization developed under neoliberal economic policies.
Out of a comparative analysis of Brazilian presidential elections, this study came up with the following facts.
First, both 2002 and 2006 presidential elections have shown the existence of class voting phenomenon at a significant level, and the tendency towards class voting was strengthened in 2006 presidential election, which proves the empirical validity of the class voting theory.
Second, it can be said that true class voting took place in 2006 presidential election. In addition to the fact that the class voting tendency grew stronger, there was a bi-polarization between the pro-Lula bloc composed of non-privileged class categories and the anti-Lula bloc composed of privileged class categories, which strengthened the congruence of class location and class position.
Third, in the case of class categories which showed a change in support rate for Lula between year 2002 and 2006, the support rate of non-privileged class categories went up, while the support rate of privileged class categories declined. This can also verify the class nature of Lula government indirectly.
Fourth, bi-polarization between the privileged bloc and the non-privileged bloc regarding Lula government, and the subsequent strengthening of class voting tendency was shown not only among class categories, but also within each class category.
Finally, relatively stronger bi-polarization in 2006 presidential election compared with year 2002 means that ideological bi-polarization developed under the left-wing Lula government, while social and economic bi-polarization developed under neoliberal economic policies.
목차
Ⅰ. 문제의 제기
Ⅱ. 계급투표의 이론적 논의와 연구방법
Ⅲ. 계급범주별 룰라지지율과 대통령선거 계급지형도 변화
Ⅳ. 소득수준ㆍ교육수준과 계급 내 부문별 룰라지지율 변화
Ⅴ. 대통령선거 투표행태의 연속성과 변화
Ⅵ. 맺음말
Abstract
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2010-950-002760763