Trends in gastrointestinal cancer incidence in Iran, 2001-2010: a joinpoint analysis

Mehdi Darabi; Mohsen Asadi-Lari; Seyed Abbas Motevalian; Ali Motlagh; Shahram Arsang-Jang; Maryam Karimi Jaberi

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자료유형: 학술저널

저자정보: Mehdi Darabi (Iran University of Medical Sciences) Mohsen Asadi-Lari (Iran University of Medical Sciences) Seyed Abbas Motevalian (Iran University of Medical Sciences) Ali Motlagh (Shahid Baheshti University of Medical Sciences) Shahram Arsang-Jang (Qom University of Medical Sciences) Maryam Karimi Jaberi (Iran University of Medical Sciences)

저널정보: 한국역학회 Epidemiology and Health Epidemiology and Health Vol.38

발행연도: 2016.1

수록면: 1 - 8 (8page)

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OBJECTIVES: The main purpose of this study was to evaluate changes in the time trends of stomach, colorectal, and esophageal cancer during the past decade in Iran. METHODS: Cancer incidence data for the years 2001 to 2010 were obtained from the cancer registration of the Ministry of Health. All incidence rates were directly age-standardized to the world standard population. In order to identified significant changes in time trends, we performed a joinpoint analysis. The annual percent change (APC) for each segment of the trends was then calculated. RESULTS: The incidence of stomach cancer increased from 4.18 and 2.41 per 100,000 population in men and women, respectively, in 2001 to 17.06 (APC, 16.7%) and 8.85 (APC, 16.2%) per 100,000 population in 2010 for men and women, respectively. The corresponding values for colorectal cancer were 2.12 and 2.00 per 100,000 population for men and women, respectively, in 2001 and 11.28 (APC, 20.0%) and 10.33 (APC, 20.0%) per 100,000 in 2010. For esophageal cancer, the corresponding increase was from 3.25 and 2.10 per 100,000 population in 2001 to 5.57 (APC, 12.0%) and 5.62 (APC, 11.2%) per 100,000 population among men and women, respectively. The incidence increased most rapidly for stomach cancer in men and women aged 80 years and older (APC, 23.7% for men; APC, 18.6% for women), for colorectal cancer in men aged 60 to 69 years (APC, 24.2%) and in women aged 50 to 59 years (APC, 25.1%), and for esophageal cancer in men and women aged 80 years and older (APC, 17.5% for men; APC,15.3% for women) over the period of the study. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of gastrointestinal cancer significantly increased during the past decade. Therefore, monitoring the trends of cancer incidence can assist efforts for cancer prevention and control.

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