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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2021.1
- 수록면
- 1 - 8 (8page)
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As a nation experiencing rapid economic growth, South Korea and its government have made a continuous effort toward efficient research investments to achieve transformation of the Korean industry for the fourth industrial revolution. To achieve the maximum effectiveness of the research investments, it is necessary to evaluate its funding’s worth and default risk. Thus, incorporating the concepts of the Black-Scholes-Merton model and the Greeks, this study develops a default-risk evaluation model in the foundation of a system dynamics methodology. By utilizing the proposed model, this study estimates the monetary worth and the default risks of research funding in the public and private sectors of Information and Communication technologies, along with the sensitivity of the R&D economic worth of research funding to changes in a given parameter. This study finds that the public sector has more potential than the private sector in terms of monetary worth and that the default risks of three types of research funding are relatively high. Through a sensitivity analysis, the results indicate that uncertainty in volatility, operation period, and a risk-free interest rate has trivial impacts on the monetary worth of research funding, while volatility has large impacts on the default risk among the uncertain factors.
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참고문헌 (18)
참고문헌 신청
Black, F. / 1973 / The pricing of options and corporate liabilities / Journal of Political Economy 81(3):637~654
Cassimon, D. / 2011 / Incorporating technical risk in compound real option models to value a pharmaceutical R&D licensing opportunity / Research Policy 40(9):1200~1216
Cozzi, G. / 2011 / Ambiguity Attitude, R&D Investments and Economic Growth / Journal of Evolutionary Economics 21(2):303~319
De Reyck, B. / 2008 / Project options valuation with net present value and deci- sion tree analysis / European Journal of Operations Rese- arch 184(1):341~355
Huchzermeier, A. / 2001 / Project management under risk : using the real options approach to evaluate flexibility in R&D / Management Science 47(1):85~101
Cassimon, D. / 2011 / Incorporating technical risk in compound real option models to value a pharmaceutical R&D licensing opportunity / Research Policy 40(9):1200~1216
Cozzi, G. / 2011 / Ambiguity Attitude, R&D Investments and Economic Growth / Journal of Evolutionary Economics 21(2):303~319
De Reyck, B. / 2008 / Project options valuation with net present value and deci- sion tree analysis / European Journal of Operations Rese- arch 184(1):341~355
Huchzermeier, A. / 2001 / Project management under risk : using the real options approach to evaluate flexibility in R&D / Management Science 47(1):85~101
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