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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
안소은 (한국환경정책ㆍ평가연구원) 오서연 (한국환경정책ㆍ평가연구원)
저널정보
한국기후변화학회 한국기후변화학회지 Journal of Climate Change Research Vol.7 No.3
발행연도
2016.9
수록면
299 - 314 (16page)
DOI
10.15531/ksccr.2016.7.3.299

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The aim of this paper is to review integrated assessment studies conducted to address the impacts of climate change․sea-level rise on agricultural sector and to derive suggestions for improving the integrated assessment process to assist decision-makers in establishing climate change adaptation policy. We collect integrated assessment studies which are based on the impact-pathway analysis, compare their step-by-step procedures and identify main factors addressed in each step. The assessment process is typically carried out in the sequence of scenario development, determination of assessment scope, physical impact assessment, economic analysis and synthesis of the outcomes from each step. We identify two types of integrated assessment. The first one examines the impacts of changes in temperature and/or precipitation on the crop-cultivation patterns and/or agricultural productivity and resulting economic effects on agricultural sector. The other investigates the impacts of sea-level rise on land use/coverage and resulting economic damages in terms of land-value loss where the effects on agriculture is treated as one sector among others. To enhance integrated assessment, we suggest that 1) scenarios need to incorporate the effects of climate change and sea-level rise simultaneously, 2) scope of the assessment needs to be extended to include ecosystem services as well as crop production, 3) social and cultural aspects need to be considered in addition to economic analysis, and 4) synthesis of the outcomes from each step should be able to combine quantitative as well as qualitative information.

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ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 통합평가 절차 및 분석요소
3. 농업부문 통합평가 사례연구 유형분류 및 비교분석
4. 농업부문 적응정책 지원을 위한 통합평가 개선방안
5. 결론
REFERENCES

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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2017-453-001413561