지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2013.10
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- 1 - 8 (8page)
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Wind resource data of short-term period has to be corrected a long-term period by using MCP method that Is a statistical method to predict the long-term wind resource at target site data with a reference site data. Because the field measurement for wind assessment is limited to a short period by various constraints.
In this study, 2 different MCP methods such as Linear regression and Matrix method were chosen to compare the predictive accuracy between the methods. Finally long-term wind speed, wind power density and capacity factor at the target site for 20 years were estimated for the variability of wind and wind energy.
As a result, for 20 years annual average wind speed, Yellow sea off shore wind farm was estimated to have 4.29% for coefficient of variation, CV, and-9.57%?9.53% for range of variation, RV. It was predicted that the annual wind speed at Yellow sea offshore wind farm varied within±10%.
In this study, 2 different MCP methods such as Linear regression and Matrix method were chosen to compare the predictive accuracy between the methods. Finally long-term wind speed, wind power density and capacity factor at the target site for 20 years were estimated for the variability of wind and wind energy.
As a result, for 20 years annual average wind speed, Yellow sea off shore wind farm was estimated to have 4.29% for coefficient of variation, CV, and-9.57%?9.53% for range of variation, RV. It was predicted that the annual wind speed at Yellow sea offshore wind farm varied within±10%.
목차
Abstract
1. 서론
2. Measure-Correlate-Predict기술
3. 측정현황
4. 자료의 상관관계 분석
5. Measure-Correlate-Predict 모델 평가
6. 측정지점의 장기간 풍속의 예측
7. 결론
참고문헌
참고문헌 (11)
참고문헌 신청
1. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Hyun-gu Kim / 2004 / Analysis of Wind Shear Patterns and Application of Measure- Correlate-Predict at Pohang Region / Journal of The Korean Society for New and Renewable Energy 1 (2)
2. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Walmsley, J. L. / 1978 / A method of correlating wind data between two station with application to the Alberta Oil Sands, Atmos / Ocean 16
3. [보고서] - Gyeong-il Kwak / 2009 / An Application of MCP Technique to Jeju Island
4. [학술대회논문] - A Derrick / 1992 / Development of the measure- correlate-Predict stratrgy for site assessment / Proceedings of the BWEA
5. [학술지(정기간행물)] - J. C. Wood / 1997 / A new matrix method of predicting long-term wind roses with MCP / Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 66
2. [학술지(정기간행물)] - Walmsley, J. L. / 1978 / A method of correlating wind data between two station with application to the Alberta Oil Sands, Atmos / Ocean 16
3. [보고서] - Gyeong-il Kwak / 2009 / An Application of MCP Technique to Jeju Island
4. [학술대회논문] - A Derrick / 1992 / Development of the measure- correlate-Predict stratrgy for site assessment / Proceedings of the BWEA
5. [학술지(정기간행물)] - J. C. Wood / 1997 / A new matrix method of predicting long-term wind roses with MCP / Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 66
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2014-560-002694448