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Evaluating and Forecasting the Technology Level of the Urban Renaissance R&D Programs Using Delphi
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델파이를 이용한 도시재생 연구개발사업의 기술수준 진단과 전망

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Seong-hoon Gwon (성균관대학교) SeogWon Hwang (과학기술정책연구원) Minkyu Lee (한국해양수산개발원)
Journal
The Seoul Institute Seoul Studies Vol.11 No.1
Published
2010.3
Pages
1 - 19 (19page)

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Evaluating and Forecasting the Technology Level of the Urban Renaissance R&D Programs Using Delphi
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Abstract· Keywords

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This paper carries out a 2-round Delphi survey on Korea"s urban renaissance R&D programs for evaluating and forecasting the technological level. The degree of importance, the probability of occurrence, the time of occurrence, the political actions needed, and main obstacles to the projects are also investigated. The analysis result on the survey can help to determine important projects and to maximize their performance by concentrating financial support on them. Based on the survey results, a portfolio is constructed according to the degree of importance and technological level to identify where to focus on. Our major findings are as follows. First, it is exptected to provide some opportunities of new local markets creation to the enterprises, some improved environments to the local residents, and economization of resources to the govermment by utilizing current assets. Second, the effect of the R&D was identified to be significantly beneficial to related entities. Third, it was found that the cooperation among firms, researches, and the government, with reinforcement of financing to the R&D, is a critical factor in the sucess of the projects, while the insufficiency of professional manpower was a main obstacle to the project. This study is a large-scale survey that covers the scopes of the overall national urban renaissance programs, and expects to provide valuable implications to formulate the strategies and to help performing and evaluating the programs.

Contents

요약
ABSTRACT
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 도시재생 연구개발사업
Ⅲ. 델파이의 개념과 조사 개요
Ⅳ. 델파이 결과 분석
Ⅴ. 결론
참고문헌
부록

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