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자료유형
연구보고서
저자정보
저널정보
한국형사법무정책연구원 형사정책연구원 연구총서 연구총서 05-10
발행연도
2005.12
수록면
13 - 220 (209page)

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This study aimed to develop an ameliorated assessment procedure to measure various risk and need factors of Korean juvenile probationers. Dislike the original assessment instrument, the measurement procedure to develop in this study attempted to cover more variables related to criminogenic needs besides risk factors, which might provide the helpful information for intervention strategies.
The intake assessment procedure was constructed into a structured interview form. The interview was proceeded by pretrained interviewers. Ahead of interview interviwers reviewed all the documented information of a probationer' criminal record(s) and the investigation reports of present criminal conduct(s). This structured interview form could be regarded as one of the actuarial risk and need assessment tools.
As participants of this study, 345 juvenile probationers from 5 probation offices were recruited with consent. The reason why more subjects could not be included was that time and resources were very limited for this type of data collection to perform depth interviews.
First numerous risk and need factors included in an interview form was collected based on various materials of risk assessment tools in western countries. And some of the variables came from previous domestic studies (Jin, 1999, 2002: Lee et al, 2005). Among these variables the most effective ones to assess interviees' risk and need factors were investigated by means of exploring the relations to criterion measures. The criterion measures were recidivism of juvenile probationers and their previous criminal record(s). The criminal record(s) was the number of convictions and recidivism was reconviction record(s) during probation. It was expected the risk factors might be closely related to recidivism record and needs of juvenile probationers might be related to chronic criminal conducts.
The data were first analyzed with applying chi-quares and analyses of variance. Based on the results of these anayses, logistic regression and regression analyses were additionally preformed to investigate the most efficient variables to predict recidivism and to postdict the number of previous convictions. As a result, 33 predictors were drawn. In order to look for an inner construct structure, factor analysis was then applied. Four domains were produced based on the result of factor analysis and the standardized subscale scores and score profiles for each individual were computed. The score profiles could be used for diagnostic purposes for selecting treatment programs or intervention strategies. Finally, a cutoff point for security consideration was investigated on a total score scale made of 33 dichotomously transformed variables. ROC and related statistical indices presented score of 14 might function well to differentiate a high-risk group from others.

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제1장 서론
제2장 소년범에 대한 분류평가제도
제3장 우리나라 소년보호관찰의 실시
제4장 연구방법
제5장 연구결과
제6장 소년대상자 분류평가표의 도출
제7장 결론 및 논의
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2012-364-003836177