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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
이진명 (한국외국어대학교)
저널정보
글로벌지역학회 국제지역학논총 국제지역학논총 제1집
발행연도
2008.12
수록면
87 - 127 (41page)

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The presidential election of 2008 received unprecedented attention from Americans as well as the world because the presidential candidates from the Republican and the Democratic Party exposed sharp discrepancy in the campaign promise on important policies as well as their personal backgrounds. Ultimately, Obama, an African-American, won the election. What explains the election's outcome? I hypothesize that four factors are of significance in affecting Obama's winning the election. I hypothesize that according to the conventional wisdom there are two systematic factors, ideology and economy which are considered as important variables to explain the presidential election. In addition to the two systematic factors, I hypothesize that the Iraq war issue and high turnout have important impact on Obama's carrying the election as temporary variables that are characteristics in 2008 presidential election. By analyzing various poll date and other election documents, I've found that all four factors are of significance in affecting Obama's carrying the election. First, in 2008 presidential election, the level of Liberals' loyalty to Obama was much higher than that of Republicans' loyalty to McCain. Second, the findings confirm that economy deteriorating in 2008 favored Obama. Third, the fact that Obama made a firm position on the anti-Iraqi war from the beginning was decisive to Obama's getting elected. Finally, Obama benefited from high turnout. The percentage of voters identifying themselves as Democrats was appreciably higher than that of voters identifying themselves as Republicans, showing considerable support for Obama in young voters, African-Americans, and highly educated people.

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