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서울행정학회 서울행정학회 학술대회 발표논문집 2003 Interantional Conference on Administrative Reform in the 21st Century
발행연도
2003.7
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81 - 110 (30page)

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This paper is a trial to pretest the hypothesis of idiotcracy exploratory with the concepts of "stupid people," "policy disposition," and "policy stand," and gives a useful framework to study policy-based voting in real situation. Many tips for studying policy-based voting are given such as concepts, analyzing procedures, questionnaires, measurements, etc. which can be used in main study.
The findings from the pilot study in which the frame work is applied to the college students studying policy science with the electoral data of the 16th Presidential election in Korea are: The average score of the policy disposition of the students is 4.505 - in 0 to 10 scale where 0 is most progressive and 10 is most conservative in contrast to the candidate Lee's score 7.39, Jeong's 6.44, Rho's 4.01, Kwon's 1.17; The gap between the self-judged and actual policy dispositions of the students are 24.2% and the students who do not know his/her own policy dispositions are 12.1%; The students who vote for wrong persons who stand different issue positions from theirs are 30.3% and the students who do not know to whom they cast their ballots even they have actual policy dispositions are 9.1%. The reason for this is attributed, I assert, to parochialism; About more than 1/3 of the students belong to the "stupid people" who vote for the candidate contrary to their own policy stands; From these findings I conjecture ordinary people cannot show the policy-based voting behavior, but parochial voting behavior; The impact of the stupid people on the election result is guessed about 24.3% which might be reduced when the main survey is done because of the trade-off among the stupid people in the East and the West in Korea.

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〈Abstract〉
Introduction
Theoretical Background
Data, Analytic Tools and Procedures
Findings and discussions from the pilot study
Conclusion
Reference
〈Appendices〉 Questions and answers of the voters

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