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학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
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연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학위논문
- 저자정보
- 지도교수
- 이헌동
- 발행연도
- 2023
- 저작권
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This study analyzed the exchange rate pass-through to the import price of fishery products. The empirical analysis divided into whole fishery products, fish, and crustaceans. The analysis was conducted on all fishery products(aggregated), fish, and crustaceans, and data such as import prices, exchange rate, consumer price index, and overseas producer price index were used. Error Correction Mechanism and Autoregressive Distributed Lags model were used to estimate the exchange rate pass-through in the long and short term. In addition, the asymmetric exchange rate pass-through was estimated by decomposing the rising and falling periods of the exchange rate.
As a result of the analysis, the exchange rate pass-through to the import price of fishery products were estimated to be close to 1. In all models, the influence of the consumer price index was found to be significant. When estimating the asymmetric exchange rate pass-through, significant results were derived only for fish and crustaceans in the long-term model. In the case of fish, the exchange rate pass-through effect was larger when the exchange rate fell down, and in crustaceans, the effect was larger when the exchange rate rose. Pollack, a representative fishery products, is mostly imported from Russia, so it appears that Russian exporters have chosen a strategy to maintain their market share. Shrimp, a representative import item of crustaceans, is imported through the TRQ method and has limited quantities. For this reason, it is judged that the exchange rate pass-through is higher when the exchange rate rises.
As a result of the analysis, the exchange rate pass-through to the import price of fishery products were estimated to be close to 1. In all models, the influence of the consumer price index was found to be significant. When estimating the asymmetric exchange rate pass-through, significant results were derived only for fish and crustaceans in the long-term model. In the case of fish, the exchange rate pass-through effect was larger when the exchange rate fell down, and in crustaceans, the effect was larger when the exchange rate rose. Pollack, a representative fishery products, is mostly imported from Russia, so it appears that Russian exporters have chosen a strategy to maintain their market share. Shrimp, a representative import item of crustaceans, is imported through the TRQ method and has limited quantities. For this reason, it is judged that the exchange rate pass-through is higher when the exchange rate rises.
목차
Ⅰ. 서론 11. 연구의 배경 및 목적 12. 연구의 범위 및 방법 53. 선행연구 7Ⅱ. 수산물 수입 및 환율 관련 현황 131. 우리나라의 수산물 수입 현황 13가. 수산물 전체 수입 13나. 부류별 수입 현황 14다. 품종별 수입 현황 15라. 국가별 수입 현황 162. 대미달러 관련 현황 18가. 대미달러 환율 현황 18나. 결제통화별 수입비중 현황 19Ⅲ. 환율전가효과 추정 모형 및 자료 211. 환율전가효과 추정의 이론적 배경 21가. 환율전가도 추정 모형 21나. 비대칭적 환율전가효과 추정 모형 252. 분석모형 27가. 단위근 검정 27나. 오차수정모형 29다. 자기회귀시차분포모형 31라. 비선형 자기회귀시차분포모형 333. 분석자료 35Ⅳ. 분석결과 391. 단위근 검정 392. 대칭적 환율전가효과 분석결과 42가. 수입수산물 전체 42나. 어류 44다. 갑각류 473. 비대칭적 환율전가효과 분석결과 49Ⅴ. 결론 54참고문헌 58
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