Amid electric cars are suggested as an alternative to fossil fuel depletion and for improving environmental issues related to transportation, supply of such an alternative is yet to be achieved. Some of the reasons would be due to its high prices compared to internal combustion vehicles, the existing vehicles in the same category, limitation to a shorter mileage per charge, insufficient charging infrastructure, unstable operation, restriction of private businesses to enter the power market, including the absence of affordable business services. To ensure economic feasibility of electric cars in the existing transportation sector, it is necessary to deduce models for taxies, car rental, car sharing, home delivery services, and bus mileage based on extremely inexpensive electric fees compared to fossil fuel. Today, each government enforces a subsidy system for electric cars in order to boost electric car services. There is, however, limitation in funding for the subsidy, and electric cars must be initiative in organizing its own sustainable business ecosystem, considering falling prices due to the mass production of electric cars and technical development. Of the various electric-car business ecosystems, the car sharing service that claims to stand for economy of communion can solve both environmental and traffic problems. This paper aims to study a methodology based on the electric car-sharing business model. Electric car-sharing business models have several variables. First, the price fluctuation in car batteries of which forms the high prices of electric cars, different daily mileage according to businesses, the actual purchase of electric cars according to the size of the government subsides, and power charging fees, electric-car rental fees, and driving-distance-based driving fees suggested by private electric car charging operators. This paper composed two types of integrated models of electric car-sharing service businesses. The model 1 is electric car maintenance cost modeling compared to internal combustion vehicles based on the net present value method and model 2 is car sharing simulation modeling. We can compare income and expenses of the electric care sharing business based on the two models. In the model 1, we compared the depreciation of an internal combustion vehicle, the same kind as that of an electric car, car insurance, and vehicle tax using the net present value method. We also analyzed the sensitivity of overall costs that varies according to the size of subsidy and deduced a cost change chart of car sharing business operators according to the subsidy. In the model 2, we carried out a simulation for the car-sharing business that has the same O-D (Origin and Destination). For the simulation of model 2, sub-modules are required to set the unit price of power charging in advance. In the sub-model, the study reviewed the taxi business with most sensitivity in the unit price computation of power charging. Taxi has the longest daily mileage and is the first to face battery deterioration; therefore, the taxi business will need to spend a large amount of money for battery replacement and profit availability is very flexible in terms of the unit price of power charging. To apply costs according to battery replacement demand, we estimated annual battery prices. In addition, we conducted a sensitivity analysis for the unit price of power charging that reaches the break-even point through an electric taxi simulation based on the daily mileage of taxi. The study suggests a design methodology based on battery price estimation and mileages for a charging fee system that can generate profits for the electric car service business and also an analysis methodology for the car sharing business. A car-sharing operator can select electric cars or internal combustion vehicles for their business and may verify profits from introducing electric cars compared to internal combustion vehicles. The final goal of the research is to suggest sensitivity and analysis methodology affecting car sharing providers according to the size of subsidy and power charging fees based on travel time and distance.
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Ⅰ. 서 론 11. 연구 배경 및 목적 12. 연구 방법과 구성 3Ⅱ. 전기차 서비스 시스템 구성 61. 전기차 및 충전인프라 유형 62. 전기차서비스 정보시스템 요소 123. 전기차 카쉐어링 서비스 19Ⅲ. 전기차 카쉐어링서비스 모델링을 위한 사전분석 221. 카쉐어링 손익분석 모델링 222. 전력충전단가에 민감한 전기차 비즈니스 선정 243. 주행거리 기반의 택시 배터리 교체주기 분석 274. 지수함수 형태의 배터리 가격 추정 275. 배터리 교체비용 산정 346. ARENA를 활용한 택시 시뮬레이션 모델링 357. 전력충전단가에 따른 택시 손익의 민감도 분석 448. 전기차 투자모형화 및 전기차용 전력요금제 47Ⅳ. 연구모델 결과 및 고찰 531. 내연차량 대비 전기차 유지비용 모델링(모델1) 532. 카쉐어링 주행기반 수익 모델링(모델2) 59Ⅴ. 결론 69참고문헌 71APPENDIX 75