지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
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- 학위논문
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초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
본 연구에서는 임상도와 HyTAG 모형을 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 경기도 용인시 임상의 잠재 생육적지 분포 변화와 산림 재적 및 탄소저장량 변화를 예측하였다. 이를 위해 제5차 임상도와 전국산림자원조사를 이용한 생장모델을 적용하여 현재의 용인시 산림재적을 예측하였다. HyTAG 모형을 적용하여 10년 단위로 미래 100년 후 까지 잠재생육 적지 분포를 예측하고 생장모델인 대수차변형을 이용하여 산림 재적을 산출하였다. 용인시 산림을 제5차 임상도를 이용하여 분석한 결과 현재 침엽수림 37.8%, 활엽수림 62.2%로 분포하고 있었다. HyTAG 모형을 적용한 30년 후 임상의 분포는 침엽수림 0.13%, 활엽수림 99.97%로 변화하였으며 60년 후에 용인시 전체의 임상이 활엽수림으로 분포하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 현재 산림탄소량은 1,773,862tC(56.79tC/ha)로 측정되었으며 HyTAG 모형을 적용한 50년 후에 탄소저장량은 4,432,351tC (141.90tC/ha), 100년 후에는 6,884,063tC(220.40tC/ha)로 예측되었다. HyTAG 모형에 따른 수종별 변화를 분석해 본 결과 잣나무, 낙엽송, 리기다소나무, 소나무는 각각 10년, 30년, 30년, 50년 이후에는 기후에 적합하지 않는 것으로 예측되었으며 모두 참나무류가 적합한 것으로 예측되었다.
목차
제 1 장 서 론····································································11. 연구배경 및 필요성················································12. 연구목적 및 대상지················································4가. 연구목적······························································4나. 연구대상지··························································4제 2 장 연구재료·····························································61. HyTAG 모형····························································6가. 온량지수······························································7나. 최저온도지수······················································8다. 유효강우지수······················································82. 국가산림자원조사 자료·········································93. 임상도·····································································10제 3 장 연구방법···························································111. 연구과정·································································112. 산림재적량 측정····················································133. 임상변화에 따른 미래 재적량 예측····················154. 탄소저장량 예측····················································17제 4 장 연구결과·····························································181. 현 용인시 임상분포 및 산림탄소량 측정············182. HyTAG 모형에 따른 모의결과······························213. 미래 임상분포 변화 분석·······································24가. 10년 후 임상분포 변화·····································24나. 20년 후 임상분포 변화·····································25다. 30년 후 임상분포 변화·····································26라. 40년 후 임상분포 변화·····································27마. 50년 후 임상분포 변화·····································284. 수종별 탄소저장량 예측 분석······························29가. 소나무 탄소저장량············································32나. 잣나무 탄소저장량············································33다. 낙엽송 탄소저장량············································34라. 리기다소나무 탄소저장량································35마. 참나무 탄소저장량············································36제 5 장 고찰······································································37제 6 장 결론·····································································39제 7 장 참고문헌·····························································41
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