In Korea, Total Water Load Management System have been planning and implementing to meet water quality target with the specific flow conditions. The purpose of this study is to find the appropriate approach for the estimation of the allocations of the pollutant loads along the entire flow conditions by using watershed model(HSPF) and Load Duration Curves(LDC). Model simulation and analysis of excess loads over the water quality target at each flow conditions were performed by the data sets of 2007 and 2010 year. Additionally, the data of 2010 was utilized to analyze the scenarios and various parameters. First of all, the rate of excess loads from water quality target was estimated by using simulated flow from HSPF model and LDC. In case that TP was 50% probability of non-exceedance from water quality target along the entire flow rate, the loads were estimated by the delivery ratio and the application of flow fluctuation condition. Finally, the allocation of loads was designed by the different flow conditions with the consideration of the Margin of Safety loads(MOS). The LDC approach depends on the flow, and that maximum allowable loading would be various with flow conditions.
The results of this study were as follows.
1. As the results of calibration and validation of flow and water quality(Water temperature, DO, BOD, T-N, T-P, Chl-a) in HSPF model, the simulated values were appropriately matched with the observed values in each stream watersheds.
2. The excess rates over the water quality target were analyzed by the simulated value excluding the actual observations to ensure water quality variation according to watershed characteristics under 5 flow conditions. The excess rate of BOD was 3.0~6.0%, and T-P was exceeded by 61.2~71.2% at Naesung stream watershed. In case of the Guemho stream watershed, the excess rates presented 3.0~6.0% of BOD, 61.2~71.2% of T-P, respectively.
3. The allowable discharge loadings were calculated with 5 flow conditions that used point and non-pont delivery loadings to meet the target and the delivery ratio in baseline year.
4. To define the MOS using the LDC, the two methods are proposed. The first method was based on the difference between the loading capacity as calculated at the mid-point of each of the five flow zones, and the loading capacity calculated at the minimum flow in each zone. The second method is converted into a percentage between the loading capacity as calculated at the mid-point of each of the five flow zones and the MOS loading calculated by the first method. Because the allocations are a direct function of flow, accounting for potential flow variability is an appropriate way to address the MOS. As a result, the uncertainties in different hydrologic conditions should be established according to watershed characteristics.
5. The allocaitons was considered with different flow conditions as the allowable discharge loadings minus the MOS calculated. As a result of calculations in the mid-range conditions, the Naesung stream watershed is 1,217.75 ㎏/day, 1,018.94 ㎏/day, 1,111.64 ㎏/day, the Guemho stream watershed is 1,519.97 ㎏/day, 1,335.90 ㎏/day, 1,413.39 ㎏/day respectively.
6. This study is attempted to develop method of the Total Water Load Management System using watershed model and Load Duration Curves(LDC) considering entire flow conditions and evaluated possibility of application on calculated allowable discharge loadings, allocations and MOS loadings as applying on Naesung, Geumho stream watersheds.
제1장 서 론 1제1절 연구배경 및 필요성 1제2절 연구목적 및 내용 3제2장 이론적 고찰 5제1절 HSPF 모형 51. HSPF 모형의 개요 52. HSPF 모형의 수문순환 113. HSPF 모형의 수질모의 21제2절 오염총량관리제도 361. 오염총량관리제도 개요 36가. 오염총량관리제도 도입 배경 및 목적 36나. 오염총량관리제도 시행체계 362. 오염총량관리제도 국외 사례 39가. 미국 39나. 일본 42제3절 부하지속곡선 441. 부하지속곡선의 개요 442. 부하지속곡선 작성 절차 44가. 유량지속곡선 작성 44나. 부하지속곡선 작성 45다. 수질평가를 위한 부하지속곡선의 해석 463. TMDLs에서의 부하지속곡선 활용 47가. 부하지속곡선의 장점 및 단점 47나. 부하지속곡선 적용 사례 494. 국내에서의 부하지속곡선 연구 사례 57제3장 연구방법 59제1절 연구대상지역 591. 유역현황 592. 하천현황 603. 연구범위 62제2절 HSPF 모형의 입력자료 생성 631. 유역 구분 및 하천망도 생성 632. 지형자료 663. 강우 및 기상자료 694. 오염부하량 자료 725. 수문자료 746. 기초자료 DB화 76제4장 연구결과 및 고찰 77제1절 모형의 보정 및 검증 771. 유량 보정 및 검증 77가. 유량 보정 및 검증 방법 77나. 유량 보정 및 검증 결과 812. 수질 보정 및 검증 84가. 수질 보정 및 검증 방법 84나. 수질 보정 및 검증 결과 91제2절 부하지속곡선 작성 971. 유역모형을 이용한 유량지속곡선 97가. 내성천 유역 98나. 금호강 유역 1022. 유역모형을 이용한 부하지속곡선 106가. 내성천 유역 108나. 금호강 유역 1123. 유량구간별 목표수질 초과여부 판별 116가. 내성천 유역 116나. 금호강 유역 1184. 점·비점오염배출량을 구분한 부하지속곡선 119가. 내성천 유역 119나. 금호강 유역 123제3절 오염총량관리제 적용을 위한 부하지속곡선 활용방안 1261. 수질평가를 위한 부하지속곡선의 해석 1262. T-P 목표수질 달성방안 시나리오 적용 129가. 내성천 유역 130나. 금호강 유역 1403. 유량구간별 기준배출부하량 및 할당부하량 산정 148가. 유달율 산정 151나. 기준배출부하량 산정 156다. 안전부하량 및 안전율 산정 160라. 할당부하량 산정 169제5장 결 론 184참 고 문 헌 187ABSTRACT 193감사의 글 196