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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Makhanya Kabelo Collen (School of Economics, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa) Bonga-Bonga Lumengo Manguzvane Mathias Mandla
저널정보
한국국제경제학회 International Economic Journal International Economic Journal Vol.38 No.2
발행연도
2024.6
수록면
365 - 384 (20page)
DOI
10.1080/10168737.2024.2320121

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This paper contributes to the literature on carry trade by investigating the dynamic correlation and the dependence structure between the US-dollar carry trade and equity markets in the (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS)) economies during sample observations that include regular and crisis periods. Furthermore, the nonlinear Granger causality test based on the feed-forward neural networks (FFNN) model assesses how global volatility predicts the dynamic correlation between the US-dollar carry trade and equity markets in BRICS. The paper finds the dynamic correlations between carry trade and equity markets in BRICS are more pronounced during most global crises. Moreover, the results of the symmetrised Joe Clayton (SJC) copula model showed that the lower tail dependence between the two series is higher during the various crises. Furthermore, the results of the empirical analysis show that global volatility predicts the dynamic correlations between carry trade and equity markets in BRICS only during crises. Asset managers and investors can benefit from this paper’s findings regarding portfolio diversification, risk management, asset allocation, and hedging when dealing with equity assets and carry trades.

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