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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2023.8
- 수록면
- 147 - 159 (13page)
- DOI
- 10.17208/jkpa.2023.08.58.4.147
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초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Various risk factors that prevent the project from proceeding smoothly occur during housing redevelopment projects. This is one of the biggest reasons why urban improvement projects are less likely to be completed compared with other urban development projects. This suggests that the business period can be reduced through the management of risks, which is a factor that prolongs the maintenance project. Therefore, this study suggests that risk, which is a factor that affects the required period of housing redevelopment projects, and accounts for the largest portion of urban readjustment projects, is analyzed to present measures for risk management. It can also be used as basic data for future risk management.
This study is structured as follows. First, the risk factors of housing redevelopment projects are defined based on previous studies and classified into physical and non-physical factors. Second, the current status of housing redevelopment projects and current support policy and management system in Seoul are reviewed. Third, an equation is derived using multiple regression analysis to determine the influence of the risk factors of each stage of project promotion on the period of business requirement. Fourth, random numbers are generated through Monte Carlo simulation to derive which probability distribution converges at each stage and analyze whether the defined risk factors affect the period. Fifth, using the results of the derived simulation, the risk factors that had a significant impact were determined through sensitivity analysis. Consequently, it was confirmed that each risk factor has a different degree of influence on the project period, and that risk factors can be used as basic data in establishing a plan for managing the risk of the maintenance project by subdividing the management entity.
This study is structured as follows. First, the risk factors of housing redevelopment projects are defined based on previous studies and classified into physical and non-physical factors. Second, the current status of housing redevelopment projects and current support policy and management system in Seoul are reviewed. Third, an equation is derived using multiple regression analysis to determine the influence of the risk factors of each stage of project promotion on the period of business requirement. Fourth, random numbers are generated through Monte Carlo simulation to derive which probability distribution converges at each stage and analyze whether the defined risk factors affect the period. Fifth, using the results of the derived simulation, the risk factors that had a significant impact were determined through sensitivity analysis. Consequently, it was confirmed that each risk factor has a different degree of influence on the project period, and that risk factors can be used as basic data in establishing a plan for managing the risk of the maintenance project by subdividing the management entity.
목차
Abstract
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 이론 및 선행연구 고찰
Ⅲ. 서울시 주택정비형 재개발사업의 현황
Ⅳ. 사업기간에 영향을 미치는 리스크요인
Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점
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