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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
이경근 (한국원자력연구원) 안동현 (한국원자력연구원) 진형하 (한국원자력연구원) 송명호 (한국원자력연구원) 정종엽 (한국원자력연구원)
저널정보
한국원자력학회 Nuclear Engineering and Technology Nuclear Engineering and Technology 제53권 제12호
발행연도
2021.12
수록면
4,042 - 4,051 (10page)
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.net.2021.06.019

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In this work, we applied a multilevel modeling technique to estimate the diametral creep in the pressuretubes of Korean Canada Deuterium Uranium (CANDU) units. Data accumulated from in-service inspections were used to develop the model. To confirm the strength of the multilevel models, a 2-levelmultilevel model considering the relationship between channels for a CANDU unit was comparedwith existing linear models. The multilevel model exhibited a very robust prediction accuracy comparedto the linear models with different data pooling methods. A 3-level multilevel model, which consideredindividual bundles, channels, and units, was also implemented. The influence of the channel installationdirection was incorporated into the three-stage multilevel model. For channels that were previouslymeasured, the developed 3-level multilevel model exhibited a very good predictive power, and theprediction interval was very narrow. However, for channels that had never been measured before, theprediction interval widened considerably. This model can be sufficiently improved by the accumulationof more data and can be applied to other CANDU units

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