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A study on the roadmap for phased denuclearization of North Korea by applying game theory
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게임이론을 적용한 단계적 동시교환 원칙의 비핵화 로드맵 연구

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Sangkyu Lee (한국국방연구원)
Journal
Hwarang Dae Research Institute Korean Journal of Military Art and Science Vo.78 No.2 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2022.6
Pages
123 - 152 (30page)

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A study on the roadmap for phased denuclearization of North Korea by applying game theory
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Abstract· Keywords

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Despite the situation that North Korea is continuously developing its nuclear capabilities and the momentum of effort for denuclearization of North Korea is getting weaken. The ROK and the United States are continuing diplomatic efforts to denuclearize North Korea as a peaceful solution. In this paper, it has developed a denuclearization road map that is close to a realistic solution based on mutual understanding. First it looks back on past North Korea’s denuclearization cases and analyze its causes of suspension and failure.
With that, the denuclearization process was numerically analyzed by applying game theory. Through this, it was attempted to draw implications from the denuclearization negotiation and implementation process and to seek ways to apply them to the denuclearization strategy. In particularly, it presented a plan for exchanging denuclearization measures and corresponding measures at the same time in stages, and explained why core values should be exchanged in the final stage of denuclearization.
#Denuclearization #Game Theory #Nash equilibrium #Verification #Corresponding Measures #비핵화 #게임이론 #내쉬균형 #검증 #상응조치

Contents

ABSTRACT
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 북한 비핵화 사례 및 선행연구 고찰
Ⅲ. 북한 비핵화에 대한 게임이론 구성 및 분석
Ⅳ. 비핵화 협상 및 이행 로드맵 구상
Ⅴ. 결론
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