지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록· 키워드
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The outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome(SARS) has struck on tourism industry in South Korea. The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of the mysterious illness on visitors to South Korea. Authors research suggests a model for measuring the impact of SARS on South Korea's inbound demand during and immediately following the outbreak(March 2003 to July 2003). The forecasts, based on the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average(SARIMA) model, are then compared with the actual volume of the visitors arrival. The empirical results indicate that during these affected months, South Korea's international tourism industry was hardly hit by the disease.핵심용어(Keywords):사스(SARS), 외생적 충격(external impact), 아리마 모형(ARIMA model), 계절 아리마 모형(seasonal RIMA model)
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