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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2012.1
- 수록면
- 489 - 502 (14page)
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This paper addresses the key concerns of a joint/combined ROK-U.S. military operation in the case of a necessary contingency in North Korea. As such, it focuses on the necessary military issues, some of the likely scenarios where these issues would arise (there are simply too many to address them all in this paper), and the likely political factors in South Korea, the United States, and the international community that would be at play during this time period. China is likely to be the “elephant in the room,” though diplomacy with Beijing will be key and the Chinese are unlikely to agree to anything unless it is very clear to the world that North Korea is obviously in the throes of collapse, civil war, or complete anarchy. Any contingency operation into North Korea will be a very large, very expensive operation. South Korea simply does not have all of the resources or the military capabilities to carry out such an operation on its own—but it should lead any effort to intervene in North Korea because ultimately this is a Korea issue. A variety of factors, particularly the instability of the government, are likely to ultimately bring about a catastrophe in the DPRK. When this happens, a unified Korea,under a transparent democracy with its capital in Seoul, is the only viable option for the Korean people.
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참고문헌 (45)
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Hong Jin-pyo / There is no Need to Worry About the Collapse of the Kim Jong-il Regime
Douglas H. Paal / North Korea: Time for Secret Talks with China
Bill Tarrant / What’'s the Plan if North Korea Collapses
Robert D. Kaplan / 2011 / The Long Goodbye: The Future North Korea / World Affairs
Bonnie S. Glaser / Preparing for Uncertainty on the Korean Peninsula
Douglas H. Paal / North Korea: Time for Secret Talks with China
Bill Tarrant / What’'s the Plan if North Korea Collapses
Robert D. Kaplan / 2011 / The Long Goodbye: The Future North Korea / World Affairs
Bonnie S. Glaser / Preparing for Uncertainty on the Korean Peninsula
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