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학술저널
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한국국방연구원 The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 제20권 제4호
발행연도
2008.1
수록면
305 - 318 (14page)

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The military conflict between Russia and Georgia, which began on August 8, 2008, marks a precipitous collapse of the Caucasus strategic landscape that has been lingering since the end of the 1990s. Russia’s military moves against Tbilisi, its military position deep in western Georgia, and its subsequent official recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia*two breakaway republics within Georgian territory*as independent states, all declare the return of Russia as the major geopolitical actor in the Caucasus. The fiveday war killed hundreds of people and caused the worst crisis in Russia’s relations with the West since the end of the Cold War. While no serious analysts would argue that Russia could rival the United States and Europe in the way the former Soviet Union did, the implications of Russia’s incursion into Georgia have already harmed Russian relations with the West, with the West now referring to Russia as the ‘‘destabilizing factor’’ in world politics. Furthermore, Russia claims that extending NATO membership to Georgia would amount to an ‘‘insufferable humiliation’’ and has hinted that this could very well be the condition under which Russia NATO ties unravel. Sitting on the sidelines on this particular issue, China watches the struggle between Russia and the West mount. But the lessons it draws from this ongoing confrontation are hardly passive. China, which has been watching this confrontation playing out, is thinking and judging the results.

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