지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
이용수
이 논문의 연구 히스토리 (2)
- 이 논문의 후속연구가 궁금하신가요?
- 연관 학술논문 또는 학술발표를 통해 보다 발전된 연구결과를 확인하실 수 있습니다.
- 이 논문의 연구 히스토리 확인하기
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at aSi-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution wasperformed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variablesincluding CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out floodrisk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis(PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspondto 1976～2005, 2011～2040, 2041～2070, and 2071～2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16,0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. Theaverage indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increasedagain. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.
목차
등록된 정보가 없습니다.
참고문헌 (16)
참고문헌 신청
/ / United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR)
Brooks, N. W. / 2005 / The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaption / Global Environmental Change 15 (2) :
Climatic Research Unit(CRU) / 2005 / STARDEX final report : 2 ~ 5
Fussel, H. -M. / 2006 / Climate change vulnerability assessments : an evolution of conceptual thinking / Climatic Change 75 : 301 ~ 329
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) / 2007 / Climate change 2007: impacts, adaption and vulnerability / Cambridge University Press
Brooks, N. W. / 2005 / The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaption / Global Environmental Change 15 (2) :
Climatic Research Unit(CRU) / 2005 / STARDEX final report : 2 ~ 5
Fussel, H. -M. / 2006 / Climate change vulnerability assessments : an evolution of conceptual thinking / Climatic Change 75 : 301 ~ 329
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) / 2007 / Climate change 2007: impacts, adaption and vulnerability / Cambridge University Press
이 논문의 저자 정보
최근 본 자료
댓글(0)
0