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자료유형
학술저널
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한국민족연구원 민족연구 민족연구 제48호
발행연도
2011.1
수록면
4 - 24 (21page)

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초록· 키워드

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Growth potential decline, widening income gap, increase in the debt of countries and households caused by low birth and aging societies are challenges to Korea, Korea's working-age population is expected to star plummeting in 2016 and decline by two thirds in 2050. Its elderly population is expected to take up 25% of the entire population. Korea's national fertility rate showed 1.15 and its total population is expected decline starting 2018. Since 2005 Korean government has recognized the seriousness of social problems caused by low birth rate and aging society by legislating relevant laws, establishing relevant government organizations, and financing. Korean government enacted a law entitled "low Birth and Aging Society" in 2005, and made "Basic Plan for Low Birth and Aging Society". The government presented the 2nd plan from 2011 to 2015. Demographers warn that more than three years of ultra-low fertility would pose a catastrophic crisis to a country on a social and national level. Korea is in a serous stage where ultra-low fertility would be kept for more that 9 years, three times three years. However, there is a shortcut to tackle low fertility. It is to realize a gender-equal society. It is estimated that the national fertility rates of OCED member countries will increase, if HDI(Human Development Index) exceeds a certain level. If GEM(Gender Empowerment Measure) is higher that a certain level, the national fertility rate will grow. As a country's gap between HDI and GEM is wider, its fertility rate is lower. A country, with high social economic development and lw gender equality, shows unusually low national ferility rate. The fact that Korea and Japan show the world's lowest birthrate is backed by this reason.

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