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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
저널정보
한국외국어대학교 동남아연구소 동남아연구 동남아연구 제21권 제2호
발행연도
2011.1
수록면
241 - 266 (26page)

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This paper analyzes the prospective effects of the Indo-ASEAN (AIFTA). In the case where India becomes the export country, it becomes favorable to most ASEAN countries as an export market. Particularly, according to the estimates of trade complementary indices, India’s exporting industry structure is well in compliance with the import industry structures of Vietnam, Indonesia, and Thailand. According to the estimates of the country bias index, the figure for Singapore is extremely high, which means that Singapore and India are attempting to increase trade volume with each other. Indonesia seems to be the most favorable country for India to promote trade relationships with, while Thailand seems to present several trade barriers. The estimates of the trade complementary index and the country bias index are both very high for Indonesia, while the trade complementary index is high but the country bias index is low for Thailand. In the case where India becomes the import country, and each of the ASEAN countries becomes the export country, India will become the most favorable market for Indonesia, Singapore, and Malaysia, while concurrently becoming unfavorable for Vietnam and the Philippines. Although India and the ASEAN countries may share some similarities in terms of economic circumstances, in practice, it is shown that they actually have many differences in terms of other factors besides international trade structure. In conclusion, it can be argued that the success of the AIFTA agreement will be dependent on the methods in which those countries narrow the differences in their economic situations.

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