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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 저널정보
- 통일연구원 International Journal of Korean Unification Studies International Journal of Korean Unification Studies 제24권 제2호
- 발행연도
- 2015.1
- 수록면
- 99 - 126 (28page)
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North Korea’s immediate neighbors, particularly China, perceive a first-mover disadvantage in responding to North Korean instability. This paper seeks to project the path-dependent strategic considerations factoring into intervention in North Korean instability. Making specific reference to the political context and capacity for response on the part of China, the authors evaluate the benefits and costs to a first-mover in five scenarios of instability, including complex humanitarian emergency and collapse of state control, North Korea’s lashing out, infighting and protracted struggle, infighting followed by humanitarian crisis, and North Korean nuclear proliferation. The paper concludes with an analysis of the geopolitical context in 2015 and China’s evolving strategic interests for the Korean Peninsula.
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참고문헌 (28)
참고문헌 신청
/ / Presidential Committee for Unification Preparation website
Agence France-Presse / 2014 / South Korea Says Economic Cost of Unification Would Be $500 Billion / The Guardian
Armstrong, Charles K. / 2010 / The Deconstruction and Reconstruction of North Korea, 1950-1960 / Asia-Pacific Journal 8 (51)
Bennett, Bruce / / Preparing for the Possibility of a North Korean Collapse
Bennett, Bruce / 2011 / The Collapse of North Korea: Military Missions and Requirements / International Security 36 (2) : 84 ~ 119
Agence France-Presse / 2014 / South Korea Says Economic Cost of Unification Would Be $500 Billion / The Guardian
Armstrong, Charles K. / 2010 / The Deconstruction and Reconstruction of North Korea, 1950-1960 / Asia-Pacific Journal 8 (51)
Bennett, Bruce / / Preparing for the Possibility of a North Korean Collapse
Bennett, Bruce / 2011 / The Collapse of North Korea: Military Missions and Requirements / International Security 36 (2) : 84 ~ 119
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