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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
저널정보
비교민주주의학회 비교민주주의연구 비교민주주의연구 제7권 제1호
발행연도
2011.1
수록면
127 - 146 (20page)

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The purpose of this study is (1) to discriminate South Korea and the U.S. policy toward North Korea since the post-Cold War between the TFT and GRIT strategies, and (2) to empirically analyze successive government's policy effects on the cooperation-conflict variations. Especially, this study adopts a rare methodology using events data: The event data framework is a methodology that observes inter-state interactions in real-time and transforms the results into aggregated data sets on a monthly, yearly, or even daily basis. The events data analyses that applies the inter-Korean analysis in recent years are hardly found mainly due to the lack of proper data sets. The author collected and modified twenty-year data sets using halfcomputerized method. The study examines North Korea strategies of consecutive South Korean supreme policymakers―the Presidents, and empirically compared its effects on cooperations and conflicts. And also compares the U.S. Presidents' North Korea strategies and its effects. The main findings are: (1) South Korean GRIT strategy successfully guided North Korea's cooperation; yet failed to ease inter-Korean conflict level. (2) US strategies during the post-Cold War directly related North Korea's cooperation-conflict reactions. This suggests the US-South Korean government level firm cooperation can produce more cooperative North Korea's external policy.

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