지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 저널정보
- 대한전기학회 Journal of Electrical Engineering & Technology Journal of Electrical Engineering & Technology Vol.11 No.6
- 발행연도
- 2016.11
- 수록면
- 1,548 - 1,555 (8page)
이용수
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
This paper presents an application of time series analysis in hourly wind speed simulation and forecast in Jeju Island, Korea. Autoregressive – moving average (ARMA) model, which is well in description of random data characteristics, is used to analyze historical wind speed data (from year of 2010 to 2012). The ARMA model requires stationary variables of data is satisfied by power law transformation and standardization. In this study, the autocorrelation analysis, Bayesian information criterion and general least squares algorithm is implemented to identify and estimate parameters of wind speed model. The ARMA (2,1) models, fitted to the wind speed data, simulate reference year and forecast hourly wind speed in Jeju Island.
목차
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Stationary Data Transformation
3. Application of ARMA Model to Wind Speed Data in Jeju Island
4. Simulation Results
5. Ahead of a Day Wind Speed Forecast
6. Conclusion
References
참고문헌 (11)
참고문헌 신청
[학술지(정기간행물)] - B. Brown / 1984 / Times Series Models to Simulate and Forecast Wind Speed and Wind Power / Climate and applied meteorology 23
[단행본] - Box P. / 1976 / Times Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control / Holden-Day
[학술지(정기간행물)] - H. Nfaoui / 1996 / Stochastic Simulation of Hourly Wind Speed Sequences in Tangiers / Solar Energy 56 (3) : 301 ~ 314
[학술지(정기간행물)] - K. Philippopoulos / 2009 / Statistical Simulation of Wind Speed in Athens, Greece Based on Weibull and ARMA Models / International Journal of Energy and Environment 4 (3)
[학술지(정기간행물)] - P. Box / 1964 / An Analysis of Transformations / Jour. Royal Sta. Sco. B26 : 211 ~
[단행본] - Box P. / 1976 / Times Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control / Holden-Day
[학술지(정기간행물)] - H. Nfaoui / 1996 / Stochastic Simulation of Hourly Wind Speed Sequences in Tangiers / Solar Energy 56 (3) : 301 ~ 314
[학술지(정기간행물)] - K. Philippopoulos / 2009 / Statistical Simulation of Wind Speed in Athens, Greece Based on Weibull and ARMA Models / International Journal of Energy and Environment 4 (3)
[학술지(정기간행물)] - P. Box / 1964 / An Analysis of Transformations / Jour. Royal Sta. Sco. B26 : 211 ~
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2017-560-001327388