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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
김송이 (한국문화관광연구원) 박진한 (서울대학교) 이동근 (서울대학교)
저널정보
한국기후변화학회 한국기후변화학회지 Journal of Climate Change Research Vol.6 No.3
발행연도
2015.9
수록면
193 - 201 (9page)
DOI
10.15531/ksccr.2015.6.3.193

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초록· 키워드

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The aim of this study is to find preferred climate condition for outdoor water activity and to estimate future change of preferred season for the activity following the climate change. We chose urban public swimming pools, Hangang park swimming pools, which do not have any attractions except pools and allow people to make decision to visit pools in the morning solely based on the weather conditions as study sites. We identified the preferred climate conditions by analyzing the relationship between number of visitors and temperature, wind chill temperature and discomfort indexes. According to the result, the preferred temperature range was from 23.51℃ to 37.56℃, the wind chill temperature range was from 25.90℃ to 39.43℃, the discomfort index range was from 71.61 to 88.98 and the precipitation range was below 22.8 mm per day. When the temperature range is applied as the preferred season, in present, the length of the season is 127 days, from end of May to end of September. However, if temperature increase resulting from lower emission scenario (RCP 6.0), the season would be extended to 162 days, from early May to middle of October. If temperature is increasing under high emission scenario (RCP 8.5), the length of the season would be extended to 173 days from early May to end of October. In addition, the period of between end of July and early August, which is currently the most preferred season, would not be favored anymore due to high temperature. The result of this study further suggests the necessity of climate change adaptation activities.

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ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 연구방법
3. 분석 결과
4. 논의 및 결론
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