지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술대회자료
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2014.12
- 수록면
- 67 - 82 (16page)
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초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
The European Union (EU) is the major export destination for ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Nations) countries while the United States of America (the US) is the largest trade partner of the EU. The export structures from ASEAN to the EU is similar to the export structures from the US to the EU. This research aims at examining the effects from exports of the US on exports of ASEAN to the EU market. We examine potential impacts by employing both qualitative and quantitative analysis. The potential displacement effect on exports of ASEAN is examined by estimating the gravity model. The potential export threat is also investigated by calculating the rivalry threat index (RTI). According to the empirical results, the displacement effects are detected in 21 out of 26 major industries of ASEAN. The displacement effect is detected notably in machinery and transport equipment (SITC7) and miscellaneous manufactured articles (SITC8). The findings from calculation of potential export threat support the results of estimation. Our empirical analysis provides the significant policy implications to the ASEAN countries that ASEAN may encounter with the fiercer threat on its exports against the US to the EU market after the EU-US FTA agreement comes into force in the near future. The ASEAN needs to increase the level of competitiveness of its industries to compete with the US products in the EU market, especially in 21 industries which the displacement effects are found.
목차
Abstract
Ⅰ. Introduction
Ⅱ. Literature review
Ⅲ. Methodology
Ⅳ. Estimation results
Ⅴ. Conclusions
References
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2016-326-001534001