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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Zahra Zamani (University of Isfahan) Seyed Komail Tayebi (University of Isfahan)
저널정보
한국경제연구학회 Korea and the World Economy Korea and the World Economy Vol.15 No.3
발행연도
2014.12
수록면
475 - 496 (22page)

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초록· 키워드

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One channel of country specific shocks transmission across the world is through trade. That is, a business cycle has an impact on the domestic economy by influencing its exports directly through changes in export demand or indirectly through changes in the terms of trade (Lee et al., 2003). Calderon et al. (2003) show that countries with higher bilateral trade exhibit higher business cycle synchronization. However, research so far has neglected the question how trade relations are affected after business cycles occurring in a country and its trading partners whether simultaneously or not. This paper examines the hypothesis that business cycles affect Iran-Korea bilateral trade relations covering the period 1992-2011. To this end, the paper has analyzed moving correlations between bilateral trade and business cycles in both countries by using a dynamic method. In addition, it has studied how real business cycles affect co-movements of trade relations in both countries. Accordingly, a spectral analysis has been conducted on a trade gravity regression model in order to explore effects of real business cycles on Iran-Korea bilateral trade within different frequencies. The results obtained empirically have confirmed the hypothesis in which synchronization of business cycles has affected significantly bilateral trade between both partners during the period under consideration.

목차

1. INTRODUCTION
2. THE RELATED LITERATURE
3. THE MODEL
4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS
5. CONCLUSION
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