지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Future spatial development in the Korean peninsula is discussed on the basis of internal and external factors that will shape the structure of the Korean peninsula. Two scenarios are employed to deal with high uncertainty embedded in inter-Korean relations: 1) economic integration without political unification; and 2) full unification before 2030. Spatial development in the Korean peninsula will be unfolded in a somewhat different pattern depending on each scenario. In the case of the former, North Korea’s spatial development would be largely dominated by special economic zones designed to develop the economy by attracting foreign investment. As North Korea’s economic reform and opening policies take effects, pockets of growth would emerge in the east and west coastal areas and border areas. However, the multiplier effects of these growth pockets would be spatially and economically limited, compared to the case of full unification. When two Koreas are unified, there would be significant changes in the spatial economy of the Korean peninsula including a largescale restructuring of industries and cities. The most significant would be greatly expanded transport connections between the North and the South and between the Korean peninsula and bordering countries. It means the resurrection of the Korean peninsular as a conduit and hub of economic and cultural exchanges in Northeast Asia. Significant differences between the integration and the unification scenario would reveal in the management of national territory. Economic growth would override other goals in the integration scenario, suggesting potentially harmful consequences of developmentalism. In the case of unification, the expansion of social overhead capital, urban regeneration and environmental management would take priority. Most of all, the Korean unification draws our attention to paradigm shift from competition to collaboration between adjacent countries, cities and regions.
목차
전제
구조적 요인들과 대외 관계
남북한의 공간구조 변화 전망
맺음말
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2015-500-001620737