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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
한승훈 (대구사이버대학교)
저널정보
북한대학원대학교 현대북한연구 현대북한연구 제12권 제3호
발행연도
2009.12
수록면
93 - 121 (29page)

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초록· 키워드

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The purpose of this study is to analyze the North Korea’s negotiation in terms of psychological view. The findings of this study are as follows. The North Korean negotiators, who believe that capitalism is the enemy and have negative historical experiences to the U.S.A. and South Korea, are very hostile to the U.S.A. and South Korea. This extreme hostility causes them to have fixed pie perception, be very passive to communicate, and be self-centered. Self-centeredness makes North Korea regard the negotiation as loss minimization and this negative frame will lead North Korea to act as a risk-taker. The self-centeredness aggravates self-serving bias which might lead to eliminate the zone of potential agreement, and make North Korea interpret the other party’s aggressive suggestion negatively. The self-serving bias even makes North Korea sacrifice its economic income and reject the negotiation. North Korea’s high demanding statements at the beginning and sticking to the suggestion are general tendency of negotiators. The actions come from North Korea’s overconfidence in its first suggestion. While North Korea persists in its initial position, it manipulates the other parties to have difficulty being away from the North Korea’s suggestion. Dual concern model well explains that North Korea chooses contentious strategies because of strong concern about its own outcomes and weak concern about the other parties’. Sometimes North Korea cancels negotiation schedule or rejects negotiation unilaterally due to weak concern about both its own and the other party’s outcomes. Finally, North Korea values face-saving and their pride which probably are from an inferiority complex. This psychology makes North Korea have lexicographic preference.
The policy recommendations are as follows. Reducing hostility will be the primary factor to yield productive negotiation between South and North or between North Korea and the U.S.A. While it is hard to expect that negotiation will produce big progress in the short run due to extreme the self-centeredness of North Korea, in the long run the strategy to change North Korea’s attitude is needed. Respecting their self-esteem can be effective to facilitate the negotiation.

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3. 결론
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